Adjustable Rate Mortgages Spell Trouble for Neighborhoods
An article in yesterday’s online edition of U.S. News & World Report points out something that may not be obvious to your average next door neighbor… as $1 trillion worth of adjustable rates mortgages are due to reset in the next two years, more and more homeowners will find themselves unable to meet their financial obligations, which, long story short, will more likely than not lead to foreclosure and the potential destruction of property values neighborhood-wide.
From the August 7, 2006 print edition of U.S. News & World Report (on newsstands now):
Call it the worst worst-case scenario. The interest rate on your adjustable-rate mortgage jumps just as the housing market enters a prolonged slump.
Then something really bad happens: You lose your job. There’s a medical emergency. You get divorced. You fall behind on your mortgage payments, and the bank forecloses on your home.
Those scenarios are now playing out for growing numbers of homeowners. Nearly 90,000 homes entered foreclosure in June, about a 17 percent increase over a year ago, according to RealtyTrac. Especially hard hit are homeowners in Massachusetts, where foreclosure filings jumped 66 percent in the second quarter as the housing market continued a sharp downturn. Foreclosure rates could increase more over the next year or so, “especially if we end up in a recession and see a lot of job loss,” says Doug Duncan, chief economist with the Mortgage Bankers Association.
Warning. In the past, foreclosures have largely been the result of a bad economy. Yet this time around, with a record number of borrowers exposed to rising mortgage payments through adjustable-rate and subprime mortgages, the increase in foreclosures could be a bad omen.
Click here for the rest of the article. As I mentioned back in mid-February, experts suggest that looses from adjustable-rate loan conversions will tally somewhere in the $110,000,000,000 range, and yet that figure represents less that one percent (1%) of total U.S. mortgage lending annually. Until all of us–-Realtors, Brokers, Regulators, Lenders, Law Enforcement, Appraisers, and Consumers–-get on-board with understanding what makes a real estate-related transaction go bad, the $110 billion in losses from mortgage payment reset will seem like a drop in the bucket when compared to the losses we’ll be facing as a result of the onslaught of fraudulent offers unsuspecting and desperate homeowners will fall victim to.


