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Editor’s Note: The following Guest Commentary was written exclusively for FlippingFrenzy.com by W. Greg Sugg.
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Financing and refinancing the purchase of a home has become incredibly easy. Mortgage lenders eager for your business are just a phone call or Web visit away. Fewer than 40 years ago, however, mortgage loans were not nearly as accessible, especially if you were seeking a loan to cash out the equity in your home or to purchase a vacation home or income or rental property. Money and credit were tight.
Until Fannie Mae (FNMA) and Freddie Mac (FHLMC) came along, local sources were pretty much solely responsible for providing money to buy homes. Once the local bank met its lending limit based on its deposit pool, it was closed for loans until either a loan was paid off or more deposits came in.
Over the course of a few short decades, all that has changed. The source for capital to finance mortgages has moved from Main Street to Wall Street. This revolutionary change in the mortgage lending industry has had its share of benefits and drawbacks. While it has made more money available for more people to purchase homes, it has also contributed significantly to the current mortgage meltdown and credit crunch.
The whole idea behind the creation of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac was brilliant. Created and chartered as “quasi-government agencies” these companies could raise capital at more affordable rates than the private sector. Investors could purchase mortgage loans from local and national banks and other lenders, enabling lenders to get their money back to lend again and again.
The concept was very simple, but to make it run smoothly, guidelines needed to be established to define which loans the agencies would purchase. These guidelines would need to set standards for things like down payment, borrower income, credit, and appraised value. Creating standards for mortgage loans made the pooling of these common types of loans into batches or securities easier and enabled investors to have a clearer understanding of what they were buying.
To simplify the process even more, Fannie and Freddie became the purchaser, packager, and re-seller of mortgage loans from all over the country. This worked so well over the last several decades that pretty much anyone who knew the standards could sell loans to these agencies. The agencies would then, with the assistance of Wall Street bankers, bundle the loans and sell them as mortgage-backed securities (MBS) to investors.
Contrary to what many people assume, the investors who purchase mortgage-backed securities are not all Wall Street fat cats with tons of money. An investor could be you, your neighbor, or the widow down the street. Anyone with money invested in a savings plan, IRA, mutual fund, insurance annuity, or any other managed fund may be an investor in all sorts of things. In fact, if you read the “prospectus” or simply the list of what the fund manager has your money invested in, you likely will see a mention of mortgage-backed securities among other things like stocks and bonds.
These pooled loans traditionally have provided a safe stable rate of return with little risk and therefore have functioned as good investment choices to balance against other more volatile investments, such as stocks.
By enabling investors to indirectly finance the purchase of homes, the American dream of homeownership became much more accessible to many more people and enabled the mortgage banking and real estate industry to grow to the enormous size we see today. In fact, several trillions of dollars are lent annually by all types of lenders in an industry that employs hundreds of thousands of people.
Until recently, the system was very reliable, primarily because the standards that Fannie and Freddie set for mortgage loans were strict. Lenders simply wouldn’t approve a mortgage loan for borrowers unless they could put 20% down, had a good job with a couple years tenure, had an excellent credit history, and were purchasing in a solid neighborhood with appreciating values. Many borrowers could qualify under the more liberal FHA or VA guidelines, but those loans were insured by the federal government. If neither of those government agencies approved your loan and you couldn’t convince the seller to finance it for you, you were out of luck.
During the last major credit squeeze of the early 80’s when mortgage interest rates were in the upper teens, many people who wanted to purchase homes simply could not qualify for mortgage loans under the strict guidelines. As a result, Fannie, Freddie, Wall Street, and the lending community decided to do something to make credit more affordable and attainable. First came the creation of adjustable rate and graduated payment mortgages with starting rates less than the fixed rate programs. After those types of loans became common, the industry began to relax certain guidelines. For example, borrowers were allowed to make lower down payments as long as they purchased private mortgage insurance (PMI), or they could make a larger down payment, say 30%, to avoid having to provide employment verification. All of these changes were designed to make the process faster, more affordable, and more accessible to more people. In many cases it did, but it also opened the door to fraud.
We relaxed standards and created a host of products to make the American dream of homeownership more accessible to more people, to create a higher demand for our products, and to feed Wall Street’s insatiable appetite for mortgage-backed securities. In the process, we took our eye off the ball. In fact, this industry should have gone through a natural slow down when rates edged up in 2005, but instead, with much help from Wall Street and its big banking houses, we created products such as payment option arms (POI’s) that allowed anyone, and I mean anyone, the ability to purchase not only one home, but pretty much as many as they wanted on the “if come” that values would never fall because demand was so high. However, the demand was artificially created by allowing the pool of buyers and potential buyers to grow on the promise of cheap money and cash-out capital from endless appreciation.
The loosening of underwriting guidelines and cheap money compounded the problem by attracting people to the industry who were not fully qualified and committed to the health of the industry.
With rising property values and an influx of cash from Wall Street, money was abundant, greed soon followed, and close on its heels was fraud. The relaxation of the standards that made an industry grow began to undermine its very foundation. Our current “mortgage meltdown,” “credit crunch,” and “sub prime crisis” are all products of greed and fraud. Please don’t confuse this with “predatory lending” which is entirely another issue. Mortgage fraud occurs when a borrower knowingly engages in a transaction, usually with the assistance of one or more industry insiders (such as a loan officer, real estate agent, or appraiser), to fool a lender into approving a loan that the lender would not approve if it knew the truth. Usually, mortgage fraud is committed to gain profit or housing; either way, it is illegal.
The winners in fraudulent transactions are typically a select few. The losers are many. Lenders and investors lose money. Investors lose confidence in the market. Housing markets become unstable. Credit tightens making the American dream of homeownership less accessible. Home values crash, so homeowners cannot even refinance their way out of trouble. Foreclosures, as we have already begun to see, skyrocket, and neighborhoods begin to crumble. Local, state, national economies suffer. Even the global economy takes a hit.
The big story and likely the most costly tragedy impacts all the loans that currently are serviced and being paid by those of us that own a home and have a mortgage. One of the biggest financial crises yet to totally unfold as I write this, are the astronomical losses that banks and mortgage servicers are taking to adjust the values of the mortgages and mortgage-backed securities they hold and collect payments for. As the quality of the loans in default have become known and the numbers of them have increased, Wall Street and the rating agencies have downgraded their views on purchasing mortgage-backed securities and credit has dried up for all but the most ridiculously pristine borrowers.
Even though the vast majority of homeowners with mortgages are still paying on their loans, the value the mortgage banker carries it for on their books has to be reduced, resulting in large losses against current earnings. This further hurts the housing industry as those write downs take the capital that would normally be used to run the business and provide credit.
Experts have estimated that we will not be out of this housing mess until 2009 in most areas of the country. It is amazing to me what going too far to bend the rules and create demand has done. Interestingly enough, in the last five or so years Europe and other places throughout the world used the U.S. mortgage industry as a model for efficient flow of capital. They were fast followers and unfortunately, they too are feeling the sting of their own credit crunch. There is no doubt this cycle will end sometime, but when and at what permanent cost are still unanswered questions.
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Editor’s Note: The proceeding Guest Commentary was written exclusively for FlippingFrenzy.com by W. Greg Sugg. To leave a comment for Mr. Sugg, please click on the “Comments” link below.
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