Credit Expansion and Borrowed Time
According to the Joint Economic Committee of the U.S. Congress, the most important cause of our current housing bubble was a massive credit expansion. An overly accommodative U.S. monetary policy from the second quarter of 2002 through the third quarter of 2006–when compared with the Taylor Rule–encouraged financial institutions to expand credit aggressively by reducing their short-term funding costs.
At the same time, according to the Joint Committee’s latest report– The U.S. Housing Bubble and the Global Financial Crisis: Housing and Housing-Related Finance [warning: pdf file]–stable inflationary expectations and the exchange rate policies in the People’s Republic of China and other Asian economies restrained long-term U.S. interest rates. Our housing prices soared as low long-term interest rates further encouraged the already strong demand among consumers for housing, while financial institutions enthusiastically supplied the necessary residential mortgage credit.
In plain English, a combination of government policy blunders and private sector miscalculations and mistakes underlie the inflation and deflation of the housing bubble. Fair enough, but I still say real estate fraud played a significant role in our current housing crisis, and for evidence of this one needs to look no further than to the financially lethal cocktail of risky high-rate mortgages and naive borrowers in many neighborhoods across central Ohio.
A wave of residential housing foreclosures during recent years has pushed property values down for the first time in decades, a new Columbus Dispatch analysis has found. The newspaper, which does an outstanding job of reporting on real estate and mortgage fraud, analyzed three years’ worth of HMDA (Home Mortgage Disclosure Act) data for more than 1.3 million mortgages executed across Ohio between 2004 and 2006. The Dispatch’s new series examines the toll of high-cost refinancings as well as the disproportionate impact on minorities, including African Americans.

From Bill Bush, Rob Messinger, Doug Haddix, Mike Wagner, Jill Riepenhoff, and Geoff Dutton of the Columbus Dispatch:
Mortgage meltdown: Think you’re unaffected? Think again
Sunday, June 1, 2008 3:26 AM
Virtually everyone is suffering from a mortgage hangover.
Even homeowners who never have missed a payment.
Even people who already have paid off their mortgages.
Even renters.
The financially lethal cocktail of risky high-rate mortgages and naive borrowers has taken a toll in many neighborhoods across central Ohio. A wave of foreclosures during recent years has pushed property values downward for the first time in decades, a Dispatch analysis found.
Thousands of families have lost their dream homes. Their neighbors, surrounded by orange foreclosure stickers and for-sale signs, have seen their homes lose value as abandoned houses blight their communities. And many renters have been pushed out of their homes because of their landlords’ problems.
The worst might still lie ahead.
Interest rates are scheduled to jump this year and next on another round of high-rate mortgages, known as subprime loans — typically adding hundreds of dollars to monthly mortgage payments.
“Subprime is going to destroy neighborhoods,” said Bill Faith, executive director of the Coalition on Homelessness and Housing in Ohio. “It’s hurt more people than it ever helped. It encouraged a culture of recklessness by everyone.”
To measure the damage and the looming challenges, The Dispatch has investigated the effects of the mortgage meltdown.
The three-day series kicks off today.
Read the Columbus Dispatch series by clicking on any of the links below (or simply start by clicking here):
- June 1, 2008: Tax appraisals factor out foreclosures
- June 1, 2008: Tax relief not coming as house values slide
- June 1, 2008: Bursting bubbles: Risky Mortgages deflate home values as entire neighborhoods pay the price
- June 2, 2008: Risky refinancings deepen financial hole
- June 3, 2008: Color of money: Lenders more likely to give minorities costly loans
- Interactive graphic: Get a closer look at surging refinancing, risky mortgages and falling property values



